Current Snapshot — 13.07.2026 05:10

**Situation Snapshot — July 13, 2026**

### Domestic Politics - In the village of Oskil, Izium district, a T-70 monument tank was stolen from a mass grave. Beyond the symbolic devaluation of memory, this indicates degradation of control over rear areas and a low level of law and order. - The Russian occupation administration in the Kherson region is rehearsing evacuation scenarios for families of collaborators and security forces. This points to expectations of instability and possible intensification of partisan/sabotage pressure. - Russian authorities in Buryatia and other regions are increasing pressure on enterprises to send people to war. This indicates a chronic shortage of mobilization resources and a shift to systemic pressure on businesses. - The Ukrainian side continues to use long-range drones for strikes on Russian energy and logistics facilities (oil depot in Stavropol Krai, Moscow). This is a consistent strategy of transferring the war to the aggressor's territory.

### Security and Frontline - During the night, a massive drone flyover was recorded in Kharkiv region (Staryi Saltiv, Liubotyn, Merefa, Zmiiv) and Odesa region (Chornomorsk, Lymanske). Russia maintains high intensity of strikes on frontline and rear areas. - In Zaporizhzhia, six people were wounded as a result of shelling, residential buildings, cars, and a hospital were damaged. This is another confirmation of targeted terror against civilians. - Ukrainian drones attacked an oil depot in Stavropol Krai and targets in the Moscow area. The number of launched devices (according to Sobyanin, up to 300) demonstrates the buildup of Ukrainian drone strike capabilities. - In the temporarily occupied territories, preparations for the evacuation of the pro-Russian contingent are being recorded. This is an indirect indicator that the Russian command does not rule out losing control over part of the occupied territories.

### Economy - The attack on the oil depot in Stavropol Krai caused a fire. Such strikes gradually affect fuel logistics and create additional strain on Russian energy infrastructure. - Australia conducted tests of the Vector AI drone taking into account Ukraine's combat experience. This confirms that Ukrainian experience is becoming a standard in the development of unmanned systems in partner countries. - Russian regional authorities are forced to seek foreign labor (North Korea, Senegal) due to population outflow and mobilization. This signals structural problems in the labor market in Russia's rear regions.

### International Context - The death of Senator Lindsey Graham (a key supporter of a hard line on Russia) could affect the balance of power in the Republican Party and support for Ukraine in the U.S. Congress. - The U.S. and Iran continue to exchange strikes; Washington insists on the open status of the Strait of Hormuz. This diverts part of American resources and attention from the European theater. - Russia demonstrates attempts to compensate for the shortage of manpower through foreign mercenaries and forced mobilization. This does not solve the problem of troop quality and indicates the limits of mobilization capabilities.